Groningenvs
Sittard
Our prediction
Groningen winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
56% Over · 44% Under
Both teams to score
58% Yes · 42% No
Team comparison
| Groningen | Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 4th |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 3.0 | Goals / game | 2.5 |
| 11th | Attack rank | 13th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 14th |
| 1544 | Elo | 1461 |
| 12 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-25Groningen 1–2 Sittard
- 2025-10-25Sittard 1–2 Groningen
- 2025-03-16Groningen 1–0 Sittard
- 2024-10-26Sittard 1–0 Groningen
- 2023-04-02Sittard 3–1 Groningen
Match analysis
Our model makes Groningen clear favourites at 51%.
Recent form for Groningen: 4 wins, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Sittard bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Groningen wins, 0 draws, 3 for Sittard.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 56%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Groningen vs Sittard?
Our model's most likely outcome is Groningen win, with probabilities of 51% for a Groningen win, 25% for a draw and 24% for an Sittard win.
Will both teams score in Groningen vs Sittard?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.
When does Groningen vs Sittard kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-28 · 18:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
