Best picks
Charlton or QPR
Under 2.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins71%
Charlton or draw70%
Draw or QPR59%
Goal lines
Over 1.571%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Under: 1.5 29% · 2.5 56% · 3.5 77%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
No50%
Most likely score
1–1at 14%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Charlton | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | Position | 2nd |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 1.5 | Goals / game | 1.8 |
| 23rd | Attack rank | 11th |
| 8th | Defence rank | 21st |
| 1480 | Elo | 1492 |
| 10 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Head-to-head · last 2
Recent form · last 10
Charlton15 / 30 pts
- D
West Brom1–1Charlton - WCharlton1–0Preston NE
- W
West Ham1–2Charlton - WCharlton2–1Derby County
- L
Swansea3–1Charlton - WCharlton2–1Hull City
- LCharlton1–2Ipswich Town
- D
Sheffield Wednesday FC1–1Charlton - LCharlton1–2Preston NE
- D
Watford1–1Charlton
QPR12 / 30 pts
- WQPR2–1Cardiff
- W
Blackburn1–2QPR - DQPR0–0Bolton
- W
Portsmouth1–3QPR - LIpswich Town3–0QPR
- LQPR2–3Derby County
- LQPR1–2Swansea
- L
Millwall2–0QPR - DQPR0–0Bristol City
- DPreston NE1–1QPR
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Model verdict
Charlton are narrow favourites at 41% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Charlton: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. QPR bring 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 3 home wins in 5 for Charlton, while QPR collected 7/15 away points in that stretch. Worth noting the stalemate risk: the model has the draw at 29%. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charlton vs QPR?
Our model's most likely outcome is Charlton win, with probabilities of 41% for a Charlton win, 29% for a draw and 30% for an QPR win.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs QPR?
The model puts both teams scoring at 50% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Charlton vs QPR?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Charlton or draw 70%, draw or QPR 59%, and either side to win 71%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Charlton vs QPR kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-09 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Charlton vs QPR being played?
The match is scheduled for The Valley, the home ground of Charlton.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.