CD Nacionalvs
Amadora
Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
CD Nacional winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
45% Over · 55% Under
Both teams to score
49% Yes · 51% No
Team comparison
| CD Nacional | Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 8th |
| 4 | Points | 2 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 16th |
| 10th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1475 | Elo | 1417 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 3 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
CD NacionalWDWLL
AmadoraDDDLL
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04CD Nacional 2–0 Amadora
- 2025-11-09Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional
- 2025-04-06CD Nacional 0–1 Amadora
- 2024-11-10Amadora 2–0 CD Nacional
Match analysis
A close call: CD Nacional edge it at 48%, with plenty of draw risk at 25%.
Recent form for CD Nacional: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Amadora bring 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 1 CD Nacional wins, 1 draws, 2 for Amadora.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CD Nacional vs Amadora?
Our model's most likely outcome is CD Nacional win, with probabilities of 48% for a CD Nacional win, 25% for a draw and 28% for an Amadora win.
Will both teams score in CD Nacional vs Amadora?
The model puts both teams scoring at 49% — less likely than not.
When does CD Nacional vs Amadora kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
