Bragavs
Gil Vicente
Postponed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.
Our prediction
Braga winHigh confidence
| 1 · Braga | X · Draw | 2 · Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| Market (bet365) | 1.60 (59%) | 3.75 (25%) | 5.75 (16%) |
Bookmaker odds with fair implied probabilities (margin removed). Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-08-16. Informational only, not betting advice.
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
51% Over · 49% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Braga | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 7th |
| 1 | Points | 3 |
| 2.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 5th | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1686 | Elo | 1525 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
BragaDDDDL
Gil VicenteWLLDW
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-14Gil Vicente 2–1 Braga
- 2025-09-14Braga 0–1 Gil Vicente
- 2025-02-09Braga 2–0 Gil Vicente
- 2024-09-01Gil Vicente 0–0 Braga
- 2024-03-16Braga 2–1 Gil Vicente
Match analysis
Braga go in as the model's favourite with a 56% win probability.
Braga arrive with 4 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Gil Vicente it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Braga wins, 1 draws, 2 for Gil Vicente.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 51%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Braga vs Gil Vicente?
Our model's most likely outcome is Braga win, with probabilities of 56% for a Braga win, 22% for a draw and 21% for an Gil Vicente win.
Will both teams score in Braga vs Gil Vicente?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Braga vs Gil Vicente kick off?
The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
