Primeira Liga · Matchday 5 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Gil Vicente or Académico de Viseu
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Gil Vicente@ 1.81
Model −5 vs market
X Draw@ 3.50
Model −2 vs market
2 Académico de Viseu@ 4.40
Model +7 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins75%
Gil Vicente or draw72%
Draw or Académico de Viseu53%
Goal lines
Over 1.570%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Under: 1.5 30% · 2.5 55% · 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
Yes49%
No51%
Most likely score
1–0at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Gil Vicente | Académico de Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 16th |
| 7 | Points | 2 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 1.0 |
| 10th | Attack rank | 8th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 12th |
| 1536 | Elo | 1489 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Recent form · last 10
Gil Vicente15 / 30 pts
- D
Famalicão0–0Gil Vicente - WGil Vicente2–0Casa Pia
- WGil Vicente1–0Rio Ave
- L
Sporting CP3–0Gil Vicente - LGil Vicente1–3Arouca
- DRio Ave0–0Gil Vicente
- WGil Vicente2–1Casa Pia
- LGil Vicente0–1Vitória SC
- D
Cd Tondela2–2Gil Vicente - WGil Vicente3–0Avs Futebol Sad
Académico de Viseu2 / 12 pts
- LAcadémico de Viseu0–3Porto
- D
Marítimo2–2Académico de Viseu - LAcadémico de Viseu0–1Santa Clara
- D
SL Benfica2–2Académico de Viseu
Primeira Liga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | SL Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Amadora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  CD Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 |  Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Académico de Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 |  Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Model verdict
Gil Vicente are narrow favourites at 47% — this one is far from decided. Recent form for Gil Vicente: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats across the last 10. Académico de Viseu bring 2 draws, 2 defeats from their last 4 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 4 home wins in 6 for Gil Vicente, while Académico de Viseu collected 2/6 away points in that stretch. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
Our model's most likely outcome is Gil Vicente win, with probabilities of 47% for a Gil Vicente win, 25% for a draw and 28% for an Académico de Viseu win.
Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
The model puts both teams scoring at 49% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Gil Vicente or draw 72%, draw or Académico de Viseu 53%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-06 · 19:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu being played?
The match is scheduled for Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, the home ground of Gil Vicente.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.