Arsenalvs
Coventry City
Our prediction
Arsenal winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
54% Over · 46% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 2nd |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 5th | Attack rank | 2nd |
| 1st | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1788 | Elo | 1673 |
| 15 | Form pts (last 5) | 11 |
Longer bars are better within the Premier League this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
ArsenalWWWWW
Coventry CityWWWDD
Match analysis
Arsenal go in as the model's favourite with a 61% win probability.
Arsenal arrive with 5 wins from their last 5.
For Coventry City it reads 3 wins, 2 draws over the last 5.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 54%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Coventry City?
Our model's most likely outcome is Arsenal win, with probabilities of 61% for a Arsenal win, 23% for a draw and 16% for an Coventry City win.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Coventry City?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does Arsenal vs Coventry City kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-21 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
