Primeira Liga · Matchday 4 ·Date to be confirmed

AlvercavsSanta Clara

Date to be confirmed.This fixture is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. Our prediction stays on record and will be settled once the match is played.

Our prediction

Alverca winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

38% Over · 62% Under

Both teams to score

44% Yes · 56% No

Team comparison

Alverca vs Santa Clara: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
AlvercaSanta Clara
13thPosition6th
1Points4
1.0Goals / game1.5
14thAttack rank17th
12thDefence rank6th
1486Elo1488
4Form pts (last 5)8

Longer bars are better within the Primeira Liga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-21Alverca 11 Santa Clara
  • 2025-09-20Santa Clara 21 Alverca

Match analysis

A close call: Alverca edge it at 38%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%.

Alverca arrive with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5.

For Santa Clara it reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat over the last 5.

A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alverca vs Santa Clara?

Our model's most likely outcome is Alverca win, with probabilities of 38% for a Alverca win, 27% for a draw and 35% for an Santa Clara win.

Will both teams score in Alverca vs Santa Clara?

The model puts both teams scoring at 44% — less likely than not.

When does Alverca vs Santa Clara kick off?

The match is not going ahead at its originally scheduled time. We will update this page when a new kickoff is confirmed.

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.