Parmavs
Cagliari
Our prediction
Parma winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
39% Over · 61% Under
Both teams to score
45% Yes · 55% No
Team comparison
| Parma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 19th | Attack rank | 15th |
| 11th | Defence rank | 19th |
| 1478 | Elo | 1453 |
| 6 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-27Parma 1–1 Cagliari
- 2025-09-13Cagliari 2–0 Parma
- 2025-02-09Cagliari 2–1 Parma
- 2024-09-30Parma 2–3 Cagliari
Match analysis
Parma are narrow favourites at 38% — this one is far from decided.
Recent form for Parma: 2 wins, 3 defeats across the last 5.
Cagliari bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 0 Parma wins, 1 draws, 3 for Cagliari.
A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 39%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Parma vs Cagliari?
Our model's most likely outcome is Parma win, with probabilities of 38% for a Parma win, 29% for a draw and 33% for an Cagliari win.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Cagliari?
The model puts both teams scoring at 45% — less likely than not.
When does Parma vs Cagliari kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
