Lorientvs
Troyes
Our prediction
Lorient winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
55% Over · 45% Under
Both teams to score
58% Yes · 42% No
Team comparison
| Lorient | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Position | 7th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 10th | Attack rank | 14th |
| 16th | Defence rank | 17th |
| 1511 | Elo | 1342 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 2 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2023-03-12Lorient 2–0 Troyes
- 2022-10-23Troyes 2–2 Lorient
- 2022-05-21Lorient 1–1 Troyes
- 2021-12-01Troyes 2–0 Lorient
Match analysis
The model gives Lorient a slim edge at 45% in a tight matchup.
Recent form for Lorient: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.
Troyes bring 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 4 head-to-heads: 1 Lorient wins, 2 draws, 1 for Troyes.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 55%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lorient vs Troyes?
Our model's most likely outcome is Lorient win, with probabilities of 45% for a Lorient win, 26% for a draw and 29% for an Troyes win.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Troyes?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.
When does Lorient vs Troyes kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
