Nicevs
Lorient
Our prediction
Nice winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
53% Over · 47% Under
Both teams to score
57% Yes · 43% No
Team comparison
| Nice | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Position | 10th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 10th |
| 15th | Defence rank | 16th |
| 1496 | Elo | 1511 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-22Nice 3–3 Lorient
- 2025-11-30Lorient 3–1 Nice
- 2024-04-19Nice 3–0 Lorient
- 2023-08-20Lorient 1–1 Nice
- 2023-03-19Nice 1–1 Lorient
Match analysis
Nice are narrow favourites at 41% — this one is far from decided.
Nice arrive with 4 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5.
For Lorient it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Nice wins, 3 draws, 1 for Lorient.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 53%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nice vs Lorient?
Our model's most likely outcome is Nice win, with probabilities of 41% for a Nice win, 26% for a draw and 33% for an Lorient win.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Lorient?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
When does Nice vs Lorient kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
