Troyesvs
Paris FC
Our prediction
Troyes winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
53% Over · 47% Under
Both teams to score
57% Yes · 43% No
Team comparison
| Troyes | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 8th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 14th | Attack rank | 9th |
| 17th | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1342 | Elo | 1547 |
| 2 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Match analysis
A close call: Troyes edge it at 39%, with plenty of draw risk at 26%.
Recent form for Troyes: 2 draws, 3 defeats across the last 5.
Paris FC bring 3 wins, 2 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 53%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Troyes vs Paris FC?
Our model's most likely outcome is Troyes win, with probabilities of 39% for a Troyes win, 26% for a draw and 34% for an Paris FC win.
Will both teams score in Troyes vs Paris FC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
When does Troyes vs Paris FC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
