Best picks
Over 1.5 goals
BTTS: Yes
Inter win
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins77%
Inter or draw75%
Draw or Napoli49%
Goal lines
Over 1.577%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Under: 1.5 23% · 2.5 46% · 3.5 68%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
No45%
Most likely score
1–1at 11%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Inter | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 10th |
| 6 | Points | 3 |
| 2.5 | Goals / game | 1.5 |
| 1st | Attack rank | 6th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 4th |
| 1821 | Elo | 1692 |
| €619m | Squad value | €456m |
| 11 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Serie A this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings. Squad values are community estimates, updated weekly — sourced as documented on our data page.
Head-to-head · last 10
Recent form · last 10
Inter24 / 30 pts
Serie A standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 | Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 |  Venezia FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Model verdict
Inter go in as the model's favourite with a 51% win probability. Inter arrive with 7 wins, 3 draws from their last 10. For Napoli it reads 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Inter have won 4 of their last 5; Napoli have taken 8 of 12 points on their travels. The last 10 head-to-heads: 3 Inter wins, 5 draws, 2 for Napoli. The fixture has produced 2.9 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 8 of the last 10. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 54%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 55%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Inter vs Napoli?
Our model's most likely outcome is Inter win, with probabilities of 51% for a Inter win, 23% for a draw and 25% for an Napoli win.
Will both teams score in Inter vs Napoli?
The model puts both teams scoring at 55% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Inter vs Napoli?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Inter or draw 75%, draw or Napoli 49%, and either side to win 77%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Inter vs Napoli kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 16:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Inter vs Napoli being played?
The match is scheduled for Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, the home ground of Inter.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.