UEFA Champions League · Matchday 1 · Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahçe vs Roma prediction

Fenerbahçe
Thu 10 SeptUTC
Roma

model cl-elo-0.1.0predicted 2026-09-01append-only record

Best picks

Top pick

Fenerbahçe or Roma

BTTS: Yes

Over 2.5 goals

Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.

More markets

Double chance

Either side wins78%

Draw or Roma67%

Fenerbahçe or draw55%

Goal lines

Over 2.564%

Under: 2.5 36%

Both teams to score

Yes65%

No35%

Most likely score

1–1at 9%

The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.

Recent form · last 10

Roma25 / 30 pts

  • WLecce0–4Roma
  • WRoma4–0Fiorentina
  • WHellas Verona FC0–2Roma
  • WRoma2–0Lazio
  • WParma2–3Roma
  • WRoma4–0Fiorentina
  • WBologna0–2Roma
  • DRoma1–1Atalanta
  • WRoma3–0Pisa Sporting Club
  • LInter5–2Roma

UEFA Champions League standingsLeague hub →

UEFA Champions League 2026-27 standings with Fenerbahçe (green) and Roma (blue) highlighted
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Brugge000000
2Aston Villa000000
3PAE AEK000000
4LASK000000
5Real Madrid000000
6Inter000000
7Porto000000
8Man City000000
9Dortmund000000
10Villarreal000000
11Lille000000
12Real Betis000000
13Barça000000
14Feyenoord000000
15Stuttgart000000
16Viking000000
17Liverpool000000
18Atlético Madrid000000
19PSG000000
20Sl. Bratislava000000
21Napoli000000
22Arsenal000000
23Sporting CP000000
24Galatasaray000000
25Fenerbahçe000000
26Roma000000
27PSV000000
28Shaktar000000
29Bayern000000
30Bodø/Glimt000000
31Man United000000
32Sabah FK000000
33Como 1907000000
34RB Leipzig000000
35Slavia Praha000000
36RC Lens000000

Model verdict

A close call: Roma edge it at 45%, with plenty of draw risk at 22%. For Roma it reads 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat over the last 10. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 64%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 65%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Roma?

Our model's most likely outcome is Roma win, with probabilities of 33% for a Fenerbahçe win, 22% for a draw and 45% for an Roma win.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Roma?

The model puts both teams scoring at 65% — more likely than not.

What is the double chance prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Roma?

Derived from the same model probabilities: Fenerbahçe or draw 55%, draw or Roma 67%, and either side to win 78%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.

When does Fenerbahçe vs Roma kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-10 · 16:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

Where is Fenerbahçe vs Roma being played?

The match is scheduled for Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, the home ground of Fenerbahçe.

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.

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