Best picks
Bremen or RB Leipzig
BTTS: Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
1 Bremen@ 4.10
Model +6 vs market
X Draw@ 4.00
Model +2 vs market
2 RB Leipzig@ 1.77
Model −7 vs market
Market bars are the fair probabilities implied by the odds (bookmaker margin removed); differences are percentage points. A higher model number is our model's opinion, not guaranteed value. Odds move constantly — shown as fetched 2026-09-04. Informational only, not betting advice.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins75%
Draw or RB Leipzig71%
Bremen or draw54%
Goal lines
Over 1.581%
Over 2.558%
Over 3.536%
Under: 1.5 19% · 2.5 42% · 3.5 64%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
No39%
Most likely score
1–1at 12%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Bremen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Bremen7 / 30 pts
- L
Freiburg4–1Bremen - LBremen0–2Dortmund
- L
Hoffenheim1–0Bremen - LBremen1–3Augsburg
- D
Stuttgart1–1Bremen - WBremen3–1HSV
- L
1. FC Köln3–1Bremen - LBremen1–2RB Leipzig
- W
Vfl Wolfsburg0–1Bremen - LBremen0–2Mainz
RB Leipzig21 / 30 pts
- WRB Leipzig3–0Gladbach
- LFreiburg4–1RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig2–1FC St Pauli 1910
- L
Leverkusen4–1RB Leipzig - WRB Leipzig3–1Union Berlin
- W
Frankfurt1–3RB Leipzig - WRB Leipzig1–0Gladbach
- WBremen1–2RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig5–0Hoffenheim
- LStuttgart1–0RB Leipzig
Bundesliga standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | 1. FC Köln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mainz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  SC Paderborn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | HSV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Gladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Schalke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Model verdict
RB Leipzig are narrow favourites at 46% — this one is far from decided. Bremen arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 7 defeats from their last 10. For RB Leipzig it reads 7 wins, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Bremen have won 1 of their last 5; RB Leipzig have taken 6 of 15 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 0 Bremen wins, 3 draws, 5 for RB Leipzig. The fixture has produced 2.6 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 6 of the last 8. Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 58%. The model expects both defences to be breached: BTTS Yes at 61%. The market reads it differently: bookmakers imply 53% for RB Leipzig against our 46% — the model-vs-market table below breaks the gap down.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our model's most likely outcome is RB Leipzig win, with probabilities of 29% for a Bremen win, 25% for a draw and 46% for an RB Leipzig win.
Will both teams score in Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Bremen or draw 54%, draw or RB Leipzig 71%, and either side to win 75%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Bremen vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-05 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Bremen vs RB Leipzig being played?
The match is scheduled for Weserstadion, the home ground of Bremen.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.