Bundesliga · Matchday 1 ·

FreiburgvsBremen

Our prediction

Freiburg winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

56% Over · 44% Under

Both teams to score

58% Yes · 42% No

Team comparison

Freiburg vs Bremen: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
FreiburgBremen
15thPosition16th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
11thAttack rank18th
12thDefence rank13th
1544Elo1451
7Form pts (last 5)4

Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

FreiburgWLDLW

BremenLLLDW

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-07Freiburg 10 Bremen
  • 2025-09-20Bremen 03 Freiburg
  • 2025-02-21Freiburg 50 Bremen
  • 2024-10-05Bremen 01 Freiburg
  • 2024-01-27Bremen 31 Freiburg

Match analysis

Freiburg are narrow favourites at 48% — this one is far from decided.

Recent form for Freiburg: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.

Bremen bring 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 4 Freiburg wins, 0 draws, 1 for Bremen.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 56%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Freiburg vs Bremen?

Our model's most likely outcome is Freiburg win, with probabilities of 48% for a Freiburg win, 25% for a draw and 27% for an Bremen win.

Will both teams score in Freiburg vs Bremen?

The model puts both teams scoring at 58% — more likely than not.

When does Freiburg vs Bremen kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-30 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.