Bundesliga · Matchday 1 ·

1. FC KölnvsHoffenheim

Our prediction

Hoffenheim winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

65% Over · 35% Under

Both teams to score

67% Yes · 33% No

Team comparison

1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
1. FC KölnHoffenheim
11thPosition12th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
14thAttack rank7th
18thDefence rank17th
1417Elo1575
2Form pts (last 5)10

Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-211. FC Köln 22 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-10-03Hoffenheim 01 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-02-11Hoffenheim 11 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-09-161. FC Köln 13 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-04-22Hoffenheim 13 1. FC Köln

Match analysis

The model gives Hoffenheim a slim edge at 39% in a tight matchup.

Recent form for 1. FC Köln: 2 draws, 3 defeats across the last 5.

Hoffenheim bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 1. FC Köln wins, 2 draws, 1 for Hoffenheim.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 65%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim?

Our model's most likely outcome is Hoffenheim win, with probabilities of 37% for a 1. FC Köln win, 24% for a draw and 39% for an Hoffenheim win.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim?

The model puts both teams scoring at 67% — more likely than not.

When does 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.