Dortmundvs
HSV
Our prediction
Dortmund winHigh confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
61% Over · 39% Under
Both teams to score
56% Yes · 44% No
Team comparison
| Dortmund | HSV | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 14th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 15th |
| 2nd | Defence rank | 7th |
| 1728 | Elo | 1488 |
| 9 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-21Dortmund 3–2 HSV
- 2025-11-08HSV 1–1 Dortmund
Match analysis
The numbers lean firmly towards Dortmund: 63% on the win.
Dortmund arrive with 3 wins, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For HSV it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dortmund vs HSV?
Our model's most likely outcome is Dortmund win, with probabilities of 63% for a Dortmund win, 21% for a draw and 16% for an HSV win.
Will both teams score in Dortmund vs HSV?
The model puts both teams scoring at 56% — more likely than not.
When does Dortmund vs HSV kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 16:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
