Bundesliga · Matchday 1 ·

RB LeipzigvsGladbach

Our prediction

RB Leipzig winMedium confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

61% Over · 39% Under

Both teams to score

61% Yes · 39% No

Team comparison

RB Leipzig vs Gladbach: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
RB LeipzigGladbach
3rdPosition4th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
5thAttack rank13th
4thDefence rank8th
1639Elo1495
9Form pts (last 5)8

Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-11RB Leipzig 10 Gladbach
  • 2025-11-28Gladbach 00 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-03-29Gladbach 10 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-11-09RB Leipzig 00 Gladbach
  • 2024-02-17RB Leipzig 20 Gladbach

Match analysis

Our model makes RB Leipzig clear favourites at 54%.

Recent form for RB Leipzig: 3 wins, 2 defeats across the last 5.

Gladbach bring 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 RB Leipzig wins, 2 draws, 1 for Gladbach.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 61%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Gladbach?

Our model's most likely outcome is RB Leipzig win, with probabilities of 54% for a RB Leipzig win, 23% for a draw and 23% for an Gladbach win.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Gladbach?

The model puts both teams scoring at 61% — more likely than not.

When does RB Leipzig vs Gladbach kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.