Best picks
Over 1.5 goals
Bolton or West Ham
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins73%
Bolton or draw67%
Draw or West Ham60%
Goal lines
Over 1.577%
Over 2.552%
Over 3.530%
Under: 1.5 23% · 2.5 48% · 3.5 70%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
No43%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Bolton | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 13th |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 2.0 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 5th |
| 14th | Defence rank | 19th |
| 1488 | Elo | 1508 |
| 4 | Form pts (last 5) | 8 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Recent form · last 10
Bolton4 / 12 pts
- L
Sheffield Utd3–2Bolton - LBolton0–1Lincoln City
- D
QPR0–0Bolton - WBolton2–1Preston NE
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 |  Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Model verdict
A close call: Bolton edge it at 40%, with plenty of draw risk at 27%. Recent form for Bolton: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 4. West Ham bring 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats from their last 10 on the road to this one. The venue split matters: 1 home win in 2 for Bolton, while West Ham collected 3/15 away points in that stretch. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 52%. Both teams to score is priced Yes at 57%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bolton vs West Ham?
Our model's most likely outcome is Bolton win, with probabilities of 40% for a Bolton win, 27% for a draw and 33% for an West Ham win.
Will both teams score in Bolton vs West Ham?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Bolton vs West Ham?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Bolton or draw 67%, draw or West Ham 60%, and either side to win 73%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Bolton vs West Ham kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-08 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Bolton vs West Ham being played?
The match is scheduled for University of Bolton Stadium, the home ground of Bolton.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.