Zwollevs
NEC
Our prediction
NEC winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
65% Over · 35% Under
Both teams to score
66% Yes · 34% No
Team comparison
| Zwolle | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 10th |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0.5 | Goals / game | 2.5 |
| 15th | Attack rank | 3rd |
| 16th | Defence rank | 8th |
| 1442 | Elo | 1618 |
| 3 | Form pts (last 5) | 7 |
Longer bars are better within the Eredivisie this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-24NEC 2–1 Zwolle
- 2025-10-25Zwolle 2–2 NEC
- 2025-01-11Zwolle 0–1 NEC
- 2024-08-24NEC 1–0 Zwolle
- 2024-04-14NEC 2–2 Zwolle
Match analysis
NEC are narrow favourites at 48% — this one is far from decided.
Zwolle arrive with 1 win, 4 defeats from their last 5.
For NEC it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 0 Zwolle wins, 2 draws, 3 for NEC.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 65%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zwolle vs NEC?
Our model's most likely outcome is NEC win, with probabilities of 28% for a Zwolle win, 24% for a draw and 48% for an NEC win.
Will both teams score in Zwolle vs NEC?
The model puts both teams scoring at 66% — more likely than not.
When does Zwolle vs NEC kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 19:00 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
