Championship · Matchday 6 · Vicarage Road Stadium
Watford vs Preston NE prediction
Best picks
Under 3.5 goals
Watford or Preston NE
BTTS: Yes
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins72%
Watford or draw71%
Draw or Preston NE57%
Goal lines
Over 1.572%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Under: 1.5 28% · 2.5 55% · 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
Yes51%
No49%
Most likely score
1–1at 13%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Watford | Preston NE | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 24th |
| 5 | Points | 0 |
| 1.0 | Goals / game | 0.8 |
| 21st | Attack rank | 20th |
| 18th | Defence rank | 20th |
| 1436 | Elo | 1406 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 0 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Watford6 / 30 pts
- L
Swansea2–0Watford - DWatford1–1West Ham
- D
Wrexham1–1Watford - WWatford2–1Southampton
- LWatford0–4Coventry City
- L
Middlesbrough5–1Watford - L
West Brom3–0Watford - LWatford0–2Sheffield Utd
- L
Oxford United FC2–0Watford - DWatford1–1Charlton
Preston NE7 / 30 pts
- LPreston NE1–3Bristol City
- LCharlton1–0Preston NE
- LPreston NE1–3Wolverhampton
- L
Bolton2–1Preston NE - LPreston NE1–3Southampton
- WSheffield Utd2–3Preston NE
- L
Birmingham2–1Preston NE - LPreston NE0–2West Brom
- WCharlton1–2Preston NE
- DPreston NE1–1QPR
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Model verdict
Watford are narrow favourites at 43% — this one is far from decided. Watford arrive with 1 win, 3 draws, 6 defeats from their last 10. For Preston NE it reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 7 defeats over the last 10. At home Watford have won 1 of their last 5; Preston NE have taken 6 of 15 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 1 Watford wins, 5 draws, 2 for Preston NE. The fixture has produced 2.3 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 4 of the last 8. The draw is live here at 28% — noticeably above the usual rate. The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 45%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Watford vs Preston NE?
Our model's most likely outcome is Watford win, with probabilities of 43% for a Watford win, 28% for a draw and 29% for an Preston NE win.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Preston NE?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Watford vs Preston NE?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Watford or draw 71%, draw or Preston NE 57%, and either side to win 72%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Watford vs Preston NE kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-08 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Watford vs Preston NE being played?
The match is scheduled for Vicarage Road Stadium, the home ground of Watford.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.