Bundesliga · Matchday 1 ·

Union BerlinvsFrankfurt

Our prediction

Frankfurt winLow confidence

Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16

Goals markets

Over / Under 2.5

60% Over · 40% Under

Both teams to score

62% Yes · 38% No

Team comparison

Union Berlin vs Frankfurt: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
Union BerlinFrankfurt
7thPosition8th
0Points0
0.0Goals / game0.0
17thAttack rank6th
11thDefence rank16th
1465Elo1547
7Form pts (last 5)2

Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.

Recent form

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-06Union Berlin 11 Frankfurt
  • 2025-09-21Frankfurt 34 Union Berlin
  • 2025-03-09Frankfurt 12 Union Berlin
  • 2024-10-27Union Berlin 11 Frankfurt
  • 2024-03-30Frankfurt 00 Union Berlin

Match analysis

A close call: Frankfurt edge it at 39%, with plenty of draw risk at 25%.

Recent form for Union Berlin: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats across the last 5.

Frankfurt bring 2 draws, 3 defeats from their last 5 on the road to this one.

The last 5 head-to-heads: 2 Union Berlin wins, 3 draws, 0 for Frankfurt.

Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 60%.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Union Berlin vs Frankfurt?

Our model's most likely outcome is Frankfurt win, with probabilities of 36% for a Union Berlin win, 25% for a draw and 39% for an Frankfurt win.

Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs Frankfurt?

The model puts both teams scoring at 62% — more likely than not.

When does Union Berlin vs Frankfurt kick off?

Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).

How are these predictions made?

Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.