RC Lensvs
Auxerre
Our prediction
RC Lens winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
49% Over · 51% Under
Both teams to score
51% Yes · 49% No
Team comparison
| RC Lens | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | Position | 4th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 4th | Attack rank | 16th |
| 3rd | Defence rank | 5th |
| 1667 | Elo | 1503 |
| 8 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-17RC Lens 1–0 Auxerre
- 2025-10-04Auxerre 1–2 RC Lens
- 2025-04-27RC Lens 0–4 Auxerre
- 2024-12-14Auxerre 2–2 RC Lens
- 2023-06-03Auxerre 1–3 RC Lens
Match analysis
Our model makes RC Lens clear favourites at 54%.
Recent form for RC Lens: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat across the last 5.
Auxerre bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat from their last 5 on the road to this one.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 3 RC Lens wins, 1 draws, 1 for Auxerre.
The Over/Under 2.5 call is genuinely tight at 49%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win RC Lens vs Auxerre?
Our model's most likely outcome is RC Lens win, with probabilities of 54% for a RC Lens win, 25% for a draw and 21% for an Auxerre win.
Will both teams score in RC Lens vs Auxerre?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51% — more likely than not.
When does RC Lens vs Auxerre kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-22 · 15:15 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
