Marseillevs
Strasbourg
Our prediction
Marseille winMedium confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
63% Over · 37% Under
Both teams to score
63% Yes · 37% No
Team comparison
| Marseille | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Position | 2nd |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 2nd | Attack rank | 7th |
| 7th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1616 | Elo | 1600 |
| 7 | Form pts (last 5) | 10 |
Longer bars are better within the Ligue 1 this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
MarseilleWWLDL
StrasbourgWWDLW
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-14Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg
- 2025-09-26Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille
- 2025-01-19Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
- 2024-09-29Strasbourg 1–0 Marseille
- 2024-01-12Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
Match analysis
A close call: Marseille edge it at 48%, with plenty of draw risk at 24%.
Marseille arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5.
For Strasbourg it reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat over the last 5.
The last 5 head-to-heads: 1 Marseille wins, 3 draws, 1 for Strasbourg.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 63%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Marseille vs Strasbourg?
Our model's most likely outcome is Marseille win, with probabilities of 48% for a Marseille win, 24% for a draw and 28% for an Strasbourg win.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Strasbourg?
The model puts both teams scoring at 63% — more likely than not.
When does Marseille vs Strasbourg kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-21 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
