Mainzvs
SC Paderborn
Our prediction
Mainz winLow confidence
Model dc-0.1.0 · predicted 2026-08-16
Goals markets
Over / Under 2.5
55% Over · 45% Under
Both teams to score
59% Yes · 41% No
Team comparison
| Mainz | SC Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Position | 6th |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0.0 | Goals / game | 0.0 |
| 12th | Attack rank | 8th |
| 5th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1543 | Elo | 1500 |
Longer bars are better within the Bundesliga this season. Attack, defence and Elo come fromour model ratings.
Recent form
MainzWLWLD
Match analysis
The model gives Mainz a slim edge at 43% in a tight matchup.
Mainz arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats from their last 5.
Goals look likely — the model prices Over 2.5 at 55%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mainz vs SC Paderborn?
Our model's most likely outcome is Mainz win, with probabilities of 43% for a Mainz win, 26% for a draw and 31% for an SC Paderborn win.
Will both teams score in Mainz vs SC Paderborn?
The model puts both teams scoring at 59% — more likely than not.
When does Mainz vs SC Paderborn kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-08-29 · 13:30 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.
