Championship · Matchday 6 · Ewood Park
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd prediction
Best picks
Blackburn or Sheffield Utd
Under 2.5 goals
BTTS: No
Each dial shows the model's published probability for that call — the same number the track record grades after full time.
More markets
Double chance
Either side wins70%
Draw or Sheffield Utd65%
Blackburn or draw65%
Goal lines
Over 1.568%
Over 2.541%
Over 3.520%
Under: 1.5 32% · 2.5 59% · 3.5 80%
Both teams to score
Yes48%
No52%
Most likely score
1–1at 14%
The single likeliest cell of the scoreline grid — even the top score rarely clears 15%.
Team comparison
 Blackburn | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 9th |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 1.3 | Goals / game | 1.3 |
| 24th | Attack rank | 8th |
| 4th | Defence rank | 9th |
| 1475 | Elo | 1538 |
| 5 | Form pts (last 5) | 9 |
Longer bars are better within the Championship this season. Attack, defence and Elo come from our model ratings.
Head-to-head · last 8
Recent form · last 10
Blackburn11 / 30 pts
- D
Lincoln City0–0Blackburn - LBlackburn1–2QPR
- WBlackburn2–1Middlesbrough
- D
Wolverhampton2–2Blackburn - LBlackburn0–1Leicester City FC
- WSheffield Utd1–3Blackburn
- DBlackburn1–1Coventry City
- L
Southampton3–0Blackburn - D
Stoke1–1Blackburn - DBlackburn0–0West Brom
Sheffield Utd15 / 30 pts
- WSheffield Utd3–2Bolton
- D
Cardiff2–2Sheffield Utd - D
Swansea0–0Sheffield Utd - DSheffield Utd0–0Birmingham
- W
Derby County1–2Sheffield Utd - LSheffield Utd2–3Preston NE
- LSheffield Utd1–3Blackburn
- W
Watford0–2Sheffield Utd - WSheffield Utd2–1Hull City
- L
Bristol City1–0Sheffield Utd
Championship standingsLeague hub →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 |  West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Stoke | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Model verdict
The model gives Sheffield Utd a slim edge at 35% in a tight matchup. Blackburn arrive with 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats from their last 10. For Sheffield Utd it reads 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats over the last 10. At home Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5; Sheffield Utd have taken 8 of 15 points on their travels. The last 8 head-to-heads: 3 Blackburn wins, 1 draws, 4 for Sheffield Utd. The fixture has produced 2.6 goals a game, and both teams found the net in 4 of the last 8. The draw is live here at 30% — noticeably above the usual rate. A cagey game is on the cards: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model's most likely outcome is Sheffield Utd win, with probabilities of 35% for a Blackburn win, 30% for a draw and 35% for an Sheffield Utd win.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?
The model puts both teams scoring at 48% — less likely than not.
What is the double chance prediction for Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?
Derived from the same model probabilities: Blackburn or draw 65%, draw or Sheffield Utd 65%, and either side to win 70%. Double chance wins often and pays little — read the probability, not the streak.
When does Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
Kick-off is scheduled for 2026-09-08 · 18:45 UTC (shown in your local time on this page).
Where is Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd being played?
The match is scheduled for Ewood Park, the home ground of Blackburn.
How are these predictions made?
Probabilities come from a Dixon-Coles statistical model fitted on years of results, with recent form weighted more heavily. Every prediction is recorded permanently, and our full track record is public.