UEFA Nations League · League B · Group D · Matchday 2 · Strawberry Arena

Sweden 3–1 Poland: prediction result

Sweden
Full time3–1Mon 28 Sep
Poland

Sweden vs Poland tips

Published , before kick-off

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals, Trust 7 out of 10, lost.

Tip: Sweden or Poland at 1.26, Trust 7 out of 10, won.

Match statistics

Sweden vs Poland: expected goals, shots, possession and discipline, home on the left, away on the right
SwedenStatisticPoland
12Shots18
6Shots on target7
9Shots inside the box9
53%Possession47%
520Passes461
4Corners4
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Goalkeeper saves3

Sweden vs Poland: every market we priced

Sweden vs Poland odds

Result

No tip
Result: price for each selection
Sweden winDrawPoland win
1.90✓, happened3.903.70

No tip here: no side is a clear favourite, so the tip is in Double chance.

Likeliest score 1–0 · final 3–1

Goals

Best Tip: Under 3.5, Trust 7 · ✗ Lost
Goal lines: price for over and under
LineOverUnder
1.51.17✓Over 1.5, happened5.00Under 1.5
2.51.57✓Over 2.5, happened2.35Under 2.5
3.52.38✓Over 3.5, happened1.53Under 3.5, our tip, Trust 7

Under 3.5 landed in 4 of Sweden's last 10 and 6 of Poland's · 78% of UEFA Nations League matches.

Both teams to score

Too close to call
Both teams to score: price for each selection
YesNo
1.53✓, happened2.38

No tip here: the model sees Yes and No as close to even.

Both teams scored in 9 of Sweden's last 10 and 7 of Poland's · 47% of UEFA Nations League matches.

Double chance

Tip: Sweden or Poland, Trust 7 · ✓ Won
Double chance: price for each selection
Sweden or drawSweden or PolandDraw or Poland
1.28✓, happened1.26✓Our tip, Trust 7, happened1.90

Sweden vs Poland: team stats

Sweden vs Poland: season metrics compared, longer bars are better within the league
SwedenPoland
4thPosition2nd
2Points17
0.7Goals / game1.8
1.50Points / game (last 10)1.60
2.0Conceded / game1.3
0 of 10Clean sheets2 of 10

Longer bar, stronger side. Season: UEFA Nations League. Last 10: all competitions.

Sweden vs Poland: meetings on our record

Sweden and Poland: form · last 10

Sweden15 / 30 pts

Poland16 / 30 pts

UEFA Nations League table · League B · Group D

League hub →
UEFA Nations League table · League B · Group D, 2026-27, with Sweden and Poland highlighted in their colours
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden2200+36
2Bosnia & Herzegovina2110+24
3Poland2011-21
4Romania2002-30

Frequently asked questions

What was the final score in Sweden vs Poland?

Sweden 3–1 Poland, played on Mon 28 Sep in the UEFA Nations League.

Did FootInsights get Sweden vs Poland right?

Our Best Tip was Under 3.5 goals, Trust 7 out of 10, and it lost. 1 of our 2 pre-match tips on this match won. Every Best Tip stays on our public track record, wins and losses alike.

Did both teams score in Sweden vs Poland?

Yes — the match finished 3–1. We had no tip on both teams to score.

Were there over 2.5 goals in Sweden vs Poland?

Yes — 4 goals in total. Our goals tip was Under 3.5 goals, and it lost.

Next for Sweden and Poland

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